Friday, September 04, 2015

Employment Situation: Total Unemployment August 2015

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Today's  Employment Situation report showed that in August “total unemployment” including all marginally attached workers declined slig...
Thursday, September 03, 2015

Weekly Unemployment Claims: Initial and Continued September 03 2015

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Today’s jobless claims report showed an increase to initial unemployment claims and a decrease to continued unemployment claims as seasonal...
Wednesday, September 02, 2015

Irrational Credibility

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Interpreting economic events these days is complex to say the least. Back in the “housing bubble” days (when this blog was originally l...

ADP National Employment Report: August 2015

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Today, private staffing and business services firm ADP released the latest installment of their National Employment Report indicating that...

Reading Rates: MBA Application Survey – September 02 2015

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The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) publishes the results of a weekly applications survey that covers roughly 50 percent of all residen...

Construction Spending: July 2015

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Yesterday, the U.S. Census Bureau released their latest read of construction spending showing improved results for July with total private ...
Wednesday, August 12, 2015

Reading Rates: MBA Application Survey – August 12 2015

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The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) publishes the results of a weekly applications survey that covers roughly 50 percent of all residen...
Monday, August 03, 2015

Construction Spending: June 2015

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Today, the U.S. Census Bureau released their latest read of construction spending showing weakening results for June with total private con...
Friday, July 17, 2015

Hong Kong Residential Property Prices: HKU-REIS March 2015

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The latest release of the University of Hong Kong's Hong Kong Residential Real Estate Series (HKU-REIS) indicating that, in March, the...

New Residential Construction Report: June 2015

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Today’s New Residential Construction Report  showed generally improving results with total permit activity rising 7.4% since May while total...
Thursday, July 16, 2015

SNAP Food Stamp Participation: April 2015

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As a logical consequence of the prolonged economic downturn, participation in the federal food stamp program is continuing to rise. The la...

Weekly Unemployment Claims: Initial and Continued July 16 2015

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Today’s jobless claims report showed declines to both initial and insured (continued) unemployment claims as seasonally adjusted initial cl...
Wednesday, July 15, 2015

Recession Watch: Piger and Term Spread Probabilities

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For forecasting oncoming recession, from a purely statistical standpoint, we have two interesting data series to follow, the Piger Recessio...

Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization: June 2015

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Today, the Federal Reserve released their monthly read of industrial production and capacity utilization showing an increase in June with ...

Reading Rates: MBA Application Survey – July 15 2015

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The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) publishes the results of a weekly applications survey that covers roughly 50 percent of all residen...