Paper Economy
A Blog dedicated to tracking economic trends and financial matters.
Showing posts with label
term spread probability
.
Show all posts
Showing posts with label
term spread probability
.
Show all posts
Wednesday, July 15, 2015
Recession Watch: Piger and Term Spread Probabilities
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For forecasting oncoming recession, from a purely statistical standpoint, we have two interesting data series to follow, the Piger Recessio...
Wednesday, July 10, 2013
Recession Watch 2013: Term Spread Probability Series
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With the weak economic recovery lagging through its fourth continuous year, its sensible to start looking for clues, however so slight, o...
Friday, January 04, 2013
Recession Watch 2013: Term Spread Probability Series
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With the weak economic recovery fast approaching its fourth continuous year of expansion, its sensible to start looking for clues, howeve...
Friday, August 19, 2011
Recession Redux?: August 2011
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With the economy weakening significantly over the last few months and the growing threat of an "double-dip" recession, let’s take ...
Friday, June 10, 2011
Recession Redux?: May 2011
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With much of the econ-finance talk these days still centered around the possibility of a looming “double-dip” let’s take a closer look at tw...
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