Today, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released their latest monthly read of job availability and labor turnover (JOLT) showing that in August private non-farm job “openings” increased 0.99% since July rising 35.80% above the level seen in August 2009, job “hires” declined 3.26% since July rising 4.30% above the level seen in August 2009 while job “layoffs and discharges” plunged 13.74% since July and dropping 20.54% below the level seen last year.
Job “openings” (click chart below for larger version), the reports most leading “demand side” indicator, clearly appears to be in the process of defining a bottom vacillating monthly between gain and loss but trending above the low levels seen during early 2009.
It’s important to understand that job “quits” are included as a component of the “separations” data series as “quitting” is a valid means of workers “separating” from employers but their inclusion tends to create an overall procyclical trend in what would otherwise be logically thought of as a countercyclical process (i.e. downturn leads to increase in separations not decrease).