Tuesday, May 22, 2007
BNN - MUST SEE TV!
Today brings six great additions to the BNN lineup, most notably, a Nightly Business Report interview with Federal Reserve’s Michael Moscow in which he admits, in so many words, that the housing decline has been more significant than the Fed had anticipated last year.
“As we move through this year, I would expect to see the housing market stabilizing, but no one can say exactly when that’s going to happen. I had thought it was stabilizing toward the end of last year as well and then we had some numbers that turned out to be worse than expected.”
Watch Moscow backpedal on BNN!
Next up there is News Hour interview with Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson in which he states that the US has experienced a “major” housing correction that was inevitable after years of historic gains. “That correction has now been significant, we think it is near the bottom, it will take a while to work its way through the system.” Unfortunately, Paulson only reiterates the same guidance he offered last year prior to the housing market taking another major leg down.
Watch Paulson call the bottom again on BNN!
Then there was Bernanke’s latest take on the subprime meltdown. Although Bernanke underestimated the extent to which the mortgage market would slide, he continues to present an optimistic outlook.
“How will developments in the subprime market affect the evolution of the housing market? We know from data gathered under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act that a significant share of new loans used to purchase homes in 2005 (the most recent year for which these data are available) were nonprime (subprime or near-prime). In addition, the share of securitized mortgages that are subprime climbed in 2005 and in the first half of 2006. The rise in subprime mortgage lending likely boosted home sales somewhat, and curbs on this lending are expected to be a source of some restraint on home purchases and residential investment in coming quarters. Moreover, we are likely to see further increases in delinquencies and foreclosures this year and next as many adjustable-rate loans face interest-rate resets. All that said, given the fundamental factors in place that should support the demand for housing, we believe the effect of the troubles in the subprime sector on the broader housing market will likely be limited, and we do not expect significant spillovers from the subprime market to the rest of the economy or to the financial system.”
Watch Bernanke talk containment on BNN!
Next, we have an excellent segment where Marc Faber, founder and managing director of Marc Faber Ltd outlines all the assets, sectors and regions in which he sees bubbles. In an era of historic liquidity, it’s not surprising that there are price bubbles in virtually every asset. Faber suggests that “everything will come down and massively so.” Additionally, Faber sees the whole global bubble scenario resulting from the inflation of the US housing bubble.
“The global liquidity was fueled largely from the American current account deficit, coming largely from the trade deficit, coming largely from US consumption, which was driven from the asset inflation in the US, most notably the housing market.”
Watch Faber talk Bubbly on BNN!
Next, Mortgage Bankers Association Chairman John Robbins discusses the subprime meltdown suggesting that the extent of the mess has been “oversold”. While pointing the finger squarely at predatory lenders for their obvious role in the current meltdown, Robbins adeptly downplays the possibility of any spillover and grater effects on the general economy.
“[the subprime meltdown] is certainly not expected to cause any great pain to the financial markets and shouldn’t bleed over to a great degree.”
Watch Robins spin on BNN!
Finally... Want to get cash out of your home without those pesky monthly payments and interest charges?
This CNBC segment features a new home equity product from Rex and Co. that allows homeowners to “borrow” against the future value of their home. That’s right! You get cash now, no payments and when you sell, you return the favor.
Watch and learn at BNN!