Paper Economy - A US Real Estate Bubble Blog

Thursday, December 22, 2011

Bull Trip!: GDP Report Q3 2011 (Third Rough Estimate)

Today, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released their second "estimate" of the Q3 2011 GDP report showing that the economy continued to expand but at a notably slower pace than originally estimated with real GDP increasing at an annualized rate of just 1.8% from Q2 2011.

On a year-over-year basis real GDP increased 1.46% while the quarter-to-quarter non-annualized percent change was 0.45%.

The latest quarterly results indicate that the most notable source of weakness in the economy came from the change in private inventories component resulting in an overall contribution of -1.35% to GDP while government expenditures with non-defense spending declined 3.8% and state and local spending declined by 1.6%.

Fixed investment purportedly made notable contributions to Q3 GDP with non-residential fixed investment increasing 15.7% from Q2 2011 while residential fixed investment increased 1.3% over the same period.  

Keep in mind that these results are likely very poorly estimated and are sure to be revised notably in following quarters and even years to come.

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