The latest release of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Business Outlook Survey (BOS) for December indicated a notable improvement in the regions manufacturing activity with the current activity index climbing to a level of 10.3 while the future activity index improved to a level of 44.1.
The following chart shows the current and future activity indexes both with their corresponding 3-month moving averages. The red line marks the threshold between contraction and expansion for these diffusion indexes.