Collapsedachusetts Existing Home Sales Preview: April 2008
Sources inside the Massachusetts Association of Realtors (MAR) report that next week’s monthly existing home sales results will show that April single family home sales crashed 15.8% on a year-over-year basis while condo sales collapsed a stunning 26.6% over the same period.Further, the single family median home value declined a whopping 8.7% on a year-over-year basis to $314,900 while condo median prices remained unchanged at $275,000.
It’s also important to note that the April single family home sales count was the lowest April count on record since 1993 and at 2803 units sold was 30.72% below the record April peak set in April 2004.
The following charts (click for larger) show the decline in single family home sales since 2005.
Notice that April 2008 is registering a home sales count well below even the 2007 level as well as indicating that the May’s results will likely be well below 4000 units, a significant decline.
Stay tuned as next week the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index results will be available for Boston likely showing the most significant decline in the last 12 months.
Labels: boston, economy recession, housing bubble, mortgage meltdown
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PaperEconomy Blog - www.papereconomy.com
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4 Comments:
But unlike the previous two years, sales actually increased from March to April -- I'm sure something will be spun regarding this.
We've been waiting for the "free-fall" phase for a long time now... wish it would just get itself over with already!
By
Anonymous, at 6:19 PM
anon,
The basic pattern is there.. sales bottom out in Feb and build till June.. then they decline for the rest of the year.
I wouldn't go looking for any hidden strength in these numbers... it all just looks awful.
As for the "price free-fall" the point is merely that there is a chance that prices (S&P/Case-Shiller, OFHEO or Radar Logic... not median) may in fact continue to fall through the spring and summer then fall more sharply during fall and again next winter.
This is precisely what occurred in the 90s bust... price decline concluded with over 20 consecutive months of declines.
By
SoldAtTheTop, at 8:05 PM
In general, it seems that sales of existing homes clearly rose in April when compared to March, but still fell YoY. Prices fell. However, due to the large (and rising) number of foreclosures, inventory continues to build.
And yes, as usual the market will probably get a pop from this -- the numbers are seldom looked at very closely.
By
eh, at 5:34 AM
Historically it looks like May-Sept. have the strongest sales numbers. If those months suk this year, look out below!
By
Edgar Alpo, at 5:34 AM
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