Paper Economy - A US Real Estate Bubble Blog

Tuesday, December 28, 2010

10 Markets Down

Looking at the seasonally adjusted results from today’s S&P/Case-Shiller home price report you can see quite clearly that home prices are showing a fundamentally weak trend.

In fact, ten markets are now setting new lows having seen a temporary boost coming from the government housing boondoggles and then completely reverting once the scams were complete.

These markets provide fairly solid evidence that the housing is still a pariah among asset classes and that buyer sentiment is likely still on the decline as the “organic” (non-stimulated and non-distressed) sales trend leans further in the favor of caution and thrift.

As we get further and further from the mania days of the early aughts, it’s likely that attitudes toward housing as a vehicle for wealth accumulation and investment will continue to wane.

As buyer enthusiasm and confidence continue to erode and distressed properties still abound, prices will likely continue to slide.

Keep watching these data series in order to draw your own insights into the nation’s housing dilemma.

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5 Comments:

  • Again we only have to thank for your information and relamente during the reading we realized this reflection in the sphere of housing, the white elephants such a great influence, but I think sales will have better days, if not already happening!

    By Anonymous Alexander, at 1:46 PM  

  • Detroit is an outlier on that graph. Are there any other markets where prices are well below 2000 levels?

    New York is more interesting. They've weathered very well. Prices are up 70% over 11 years, and they were already high 11 year ago. Not sure why NYC is holding up -- is it the financial industry? I think a few other places (? Boston, Silicon valley, DC ?) may be doing as well as NYC. It'd be interesting to see the list.

    By Anonymous Dagger, at 6:52 PM  

  • Dagger,

    The northeast has fared pretty well but I think we need to wait to really see what the trends will bring. These markets didn't collapse like Vegas and Phoenix but they are still over-valued.

    Who knows... it might be the next recession that ultimately determines the trend for the northeast.

    By Blogger SoldAtTheTop, at 8:44 PM  

  • Enjoyed your blog.

    An interesting new trend that is emerging is that the recent movments in house prices do not reflect the previous boom/bust cycle but rather the cities that are at the centre of the political/financial world are holding up while those that are at the periphery are falling. I blog more about this at: http://reflexivityfinance.blogspot.com/

    By Blogger Steve van Emmerik, at 4:18 AM  

  • A US Real Estate Bubble Blog also known as the Paper economy. These markets provide fairly solid evidence that the housing is still a pariah among asset classes.

    By Anonymous HIS Real Estate Network, at 5:28 AM  

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