Paper Economy - A US Real Estate Bubble Blog

Friday, April 25, 2008

Collapsedachusetts Existing Home Sales Preview: March 2008

Sources inside the Massachusetts Association of Realtors (MAR) report that next week’s monthly existing home sales results will show that March single family home sales crashed 32.3% on a year-over-year basis while condo sales collapsed a stunning 38.0% over the same period.

Further, the single family median selling price declined a whopping 8.4% on a year-over-year basis to $315,000 while the condo median selling price slumped 5.3% to $263,750.

It’s also important to note that the March single family home sales count was the lowest March count on record since 1992 and at 2339 units sold was 34.11% below the record March peak set in March 2006.

As for the Multi-Family market (a good indicator of the plight of the investor-speculator), MAR reports that statewide sales declined 20% in the first quarter of 2008 with a 30.5% decline seen in the Greater Boston area resulting in a TRULY STUNNING 28.4% decline to the median selling price on a year-over-year basis.

The following charts (click for larger) show the decline in single family home sales since 2005.

Notice that March 2008 is registering a home sales count well below even the 2007 level as well as indicating that the April’s results will likely be well below 3000 units, a significant decline.


After over two years of declining home sales, weakening home prices and now looming recession it appears that Massachusetts has just entered the price “free-fall” phase of the housing decline where home prices continuously drop even through the spring months which are typically strong in the region.

Stay tuned as next week the S&P/Case-Shiller home price index results will be available for Boston likely showing the most significant decline in the last 12 months.

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3 Comments:

  • Thanks again for the early bird info, and especially for the multi-family sales info, which I haven't seen before but am very interested in. Hope you're right about this initiating the next, and necessary, phase of the correction. Maybe there is hope thatI'll be able to buy in an area where I want to live.

    By Blogger Me, at 1:46 PM  

  • I'd be interested to see price drop info from peak as well as YOY. Is this not an important measure, or is it just difficult to do?

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 8:31 AM  

  • anon,

    Remember that the charts in this post are "sales" not "price" BUT check back on Tuesday when the Case-Shiller price index will be out for Boston and also check BostonBubble.com for the inflation adjusted price chart they publish after the official release of MARs monthly data.

    By Blogger SoldAtTheTop, at 11:11 AM  

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