Paper Economy - A US Real Estate Bubble Blog

Friday, October 23, 2009

Existing Home Sales Report: September 2009

Today, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) released their Existing Home Sales Report for September showing surging home sales particularly for condos and distressed properties strongly indicating that the government’s “down payments-for-debtors” program is driving significant activity.

In fact, the program has had such exceptional simulative effects that even 4 year old children, most unemployed, illiterate and largely ignorant of the demands and responsibilities of home ownership, are getting into the act.

Existing single family home sales were up 7.7% on a year-over-year basis while the median selling price declined 8.1% over the same period.

More notably though, existing condos sales were up a whopping 21.2% on a year-over-year basis while the median selling price declined 11.7% over the same period.

It’s important to recognize that the nation’s housing markets are now awash with fraud as a direct result of the “first time home buyers” tax credit.

While this government assistance program was intended to help needy “homebuyers” afford the minimal 3% deposit requirements needed to satisfy the FHA’s historically loose lending standards, it’s obvious now that the program has encouraged an unprecedented level of deceit among the American people.

With just a preliminary vetting of the tax credit claims, the Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration J. Russell George has already uncovered half a billion dollars of scam claims.

Of course, the NAR leadership is lobbying desperately to have this sham extended.

From chief economist Lawrence Yun:

“Much of the momentum is from people responding to the first-time buyer tax credit, which is freeing many sellers to make a trade and buy another home, … We are hopeful the tax credit will be extended and possibly expanded to more buyers, at least through the middle of next year, because the rising sales momentum needs to continue for a few additional quarters until we reach a point of a self-sustaining recovery.”

The following (click for larger versions) are charts showing sales for single family homes, plotted monthly, for 2006, 2007, 2008 and 2009 as well as national existing home inventory and month supply.







Below is a chart consolidating all the year-over-year changes reported by NAR in their most recent report.

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9 Comments:

  • "While this government assistance program was intended to help needy “homebuyers” afford the minimal 3% deposit requirements needed to satisfy the FHA’s historically loose lending standards, it’s obvious now that the program has encouraged an unprecedented level of deceit among the American people."

    For those of you not fluent in permabearspeak, this is loosely translated as "sales have likely bottomed".

    Ill have an update when SATT decided prices have bottomed at some point in the future.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 11:54 AM  

  • Until Fed is forced to fight inflation, the bubble will keep grow bigger and bigger. Wealth are being transferred from savers to borrowers, from poor to rich as quickly as possible.

    By Anonymous JGU, at 12:00 PM  

  • I hope this means the economy is picking up.

    By Anonymous Chrystal K., at 5:44 PM  

  • http://www.RemoveMyCreditInquiries.org is a site I found that is ran by a non-profit that can remove credit report inquiries for $15. They also appear to remove late comments as well.

    By Blogger Michael Roman, at 4:16 PM  

  • "For those of you not fluent in permabearspeak, this is loosely translated as "sales have likely bottomed"."

    For those of you not fluent in perma-troll-speak, ad hominem attacks are an easy way to draw attention away from the actual substance of the argument when you don't actually have a compelling counterargument. Hey troll, why don't you address the actual substance and explain why we should accept this as the "bottom" when the housing market is on government life support in so many ways?

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 3:45 PM  

  • For those of you not fluent in perma-troll-speak, ad hominem attacks are an easy way to draw attention away from the actual substance of the argument when you don't actually have a compelling counterargument.

    Very true - I have no counterargument. All I do is keep these fools honest.

    Permabulls argue up is up and down is really "up".

    Permabears argue down is down and up is also, somehow "down".

    Us trolls point out up is up and down is down.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 5:33 PM  

  • Oh and we do go ad hominem - because - you know we are trolls - and we find it fun!

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 5:35 PM  

  • Hey that’s a very nice article. And I really impress with this article after read it. And I also want to next visit on this site very soon. So thanks for it. And please keep posting me.

    By Anonymous Home Inspector, at 1:09 AM  

  • Nice house! what street is that?

    By Anonymous double breasted suits, at 7:59 AM  

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