The Almost Daily 2¢ - Jumbo Lives (A.K.A Realtor’s Win)
So… it looks like that’s it.Washington pulled the trigger on what they term a bipartisan “middle class” initiative to “respond to the economic pressures affecting the American people” by “putting money in the hands of working families”.
Undoubtedly, the most significant element of the proposal is NOT the cash handouts or adjustments to depreciating business investment but is instead the increasing of the GSE conforming loan limit to $730K.
After the passage of this initiative the various federal “affordable housing” programs will NO LONGER BE WORKING TO ASSIST LOWER AND MIDDLE CLASS FAMILIES afford housing as first time home buyers (as they were all intended to do) but instead will be working to enable and subsidize truly affluent homeowners and housing speculators.
This has to be easily the most warped and grotesque and truly unfair socialization of private financial losses on record.
Realtors, Homebuilders, Mortgage brokers, Flippers and other Speculators, DINK Yuppies, regular Yuppies, HGTV, the most affluent 1%, hedge funds, Countrywide Financial, Bear Sterns… greed itself has just been bailed out on the backs of the middle class.
Hey Red states!... You are now subsidizing the Blue states and enabling their most affluent and highly educated residents to continue a lifestyle of unspeakable (and unsustainable) excess.
So it looks like all the Realtor RPAC (the largest and most affluent and influential PAC our country has ever known) money paid off!!!!
If you are as outraged as I am over this….
LET THE FOLLOWING RESPONSIBLE PARTIES KNOW! THIS IS YOUR LAST CHANCE...
- The White House
- Massachusetts Representative Barney Frank at (202) 225-5931
- New York Senator Charles Schumer
- California Representative Nancy Pelosi
Labels: bailout, Barney Frank, Bernanke, Congress, Federal Reserve, housing bubble, schumer
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PaperEconomy Blog - www.papereconomy.com
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PaperEconomy Blog - www.papereconomy.com
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8 Comments:
In the end I wonder how big a deal this really is...
The money ain't getting paid back. it just seems the debtor is now the GSEs. After all that gaurantee is implicit not contracted in any way shape or form.
For those of us who want to see the GSEs go bye-bye this may be a good thing. The loans will default Fannie\Freddie wil have nothing to payback with. And the FED is busy blowing it's wad early in this crisis and will be of no help at all.
By
Charles, at 4:07 PM
Charles,
I wish I felt the same but the fact is nearly all the absurd TV and radio ads from the last year are simply organizations like Qicken Loans and CFC and the like making pitches to draw in homebuyers (and home refinancers) to make mostly fixed Fannie Freddie loans...
There will be an instant and immediate market for affordable Jumbo Government loans...
Affordable because these loans are guaranteed by the "full faith and credit of the US" resulting in dramatically lower interest rates.
Idiot lawmakers will applaud the uptake of these loans and its effect of putting a bottom on the housing decline.
The initiative will be extended after it reaches its "temporary" term and the rest will be history...
By
SoldAtTheTop, at 5:23 PM
So, there will be no housing collapse? I doubt it - too many homes and too many bad loans.
By
Doug, at 12:09 PM
Sorry...
As Dagger points out... GSE loans are NOT guaranteed but the "full faith and credit" of the US govt... but the argument is really academic at this point.
If Fannie and Freddie were to fail the US govt would HAVE to bail them out...
Here is a good paper discussing why.
The "implied" guarantee is as good as a specific guarantee and if the GSEs failed, current and generations of taxpayers and savers would be paying the price.
By
SoldAtTheTop, at 1:40 PM
Doug,
I believe that the price deflation will come no matter what but affordable GSE Jumbos will breath new life into the high cost metro markets.
There still is the overall portfolio cap limits that both Fannie and Freddie have to abide by but it seems apparent to me that those limits will just be raised.
The govt is making a very risky bet that "prime" loans will not go bad in large numbers...
As house prices continue to fall (even at a slower rate) I believe that they (and we) will lose that bet.
By
SoldAtTheTop, at 1:46 PM
Incredible,
Although I am fiscally conservative, I do not know why all the lefties are not screaming about this immense redistribution of wealth to the upper classes. Effectively, all of us have had an historically amazing chunk of our wages now absorbed by HUGE corporations.
Wait, I know why they aren't screaming-- all of the huge TAXES we are know paying. Thats another redistribution to the welfare state.
Nobody, I mean nobody in our government cares about doing the right thing, only votes and kickbacks.
By
Anonymous, at 6:19 PM
Somebody is awake. OFHEO has come out and opposed the mortgage related portion of the stimulus package:
http://money.cnn.com/2008/01/25/real_estate/OFHEO_opposes_cap_lifts/index.htm?postversion=2008012609
By
bostonbubble, at 1:07 PM
BostonBubble,
Thanks for the link...
I hate to say it but I think that OFHEOs wings will be clipped...
I think they are going to ignore Lockhart as even he isn't totally against the limit increase... he just thinks the change should come with additional regulatory powers.
Oh well..
By
SoldAtTheTop, at 2:02 PM
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