Tuesday, July 20, 2010

New Residential Construction Report: June 2010

Today’s New Residential Construction Report showed a continued pullback to both single family permits and starts suggesting that housing is continuing to retrench in the wake of the expiration of the government's tax gimmick.

Single family housing permits, the most leading of indicators, dropped 3.4% on a month-to-month basis to 421K single family units (SAAR) or 6.7% below the level seen in June 2009, the first annual drop in nine months and an astonishing 76.59% below the peak in September 2005.

With the substantial headwinds of rising unemployment, epic levels of foreclosure and delinquency, mounting bankruptcies, contracting consumer credit, and falling real wages, an overhang of inventory and still falling home prices, the environment for “organic” home sales remains weak and likely very fragile.